Superforecasting Annie Leonard James and the Giant Peach

James and the Giant Peach

This book is indispensable to any feng shui enthusiast's library

the game must play out

ladies who pass their time embroidering terrible fates

Superforecasting Annie Leonard James and the Giant PeachWhat if we could improve our ability to predict the future? Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was